A Night of Ugh

by

Lamar Odom has resigned with the Lakers. This solidifies the Lakers as prohibitive favorites to win the title. But I’m not worried. The Spurs have a realistic shot at reclaiming the crown. They’ll have to fire on all cylinders and catch a couple breaks, though. Odom is a difficult match up for the Spurs.

But hear this: don’t sweat it. The Spurs are pretty damn smart at what they do; from where I sit, they’ve already got this covered.  If the sick with talent Lakers prove one player too much for the Spurs, San Antonio can piece together a nice package of expiring contracts in January or February in return for an impact player on a salary dump.   Matt Bonner, Mike Finley, and Roger Mason Jr. can put the Spurs within striking distance of 10-12 million dollar player. The contracts of Malik Hairston, Marcus Williams, Marcus Haislip and Theo Ratliff are all movable as well. In addition to their expirings, they could sweeten any potential deal with draft picks and/or the rights to Tiago Splitter.  San Antonio has held a trump card back in the form of expiring contracts.

As we move into the season, remember that the Spurs have left themselves some wiggle room to gear up for the Lakers.

Elsewhere, Tony Parker’s recently injured ankle is enough of a concern to the Spurs that they’ve brought him back to San Antonio for tests.  Parker and the French press are playing the injury off as minor, and painting a picture of an unnecessarily cautious Spurs front office. But can you blame the front office for erring on the side of caution?  Last season ended before it began when Manu Ginobili injured his ankle during international play.

If Parker’s injury is even remotely serious, he needs to shut himself down. I don’t begrudge guys for playing for their countries.   In fact, I love Parker’s leadership as it relates to his national team and aspirations with ASVEL. In a vacuum I not only want Parker to play for his national team, I’ll promise to cheer for him all along the way. Ultimately, such commitments are good for the player and good for basketball. But at some point his debt to country must be counter balanced against an obligation to his employer and, more importantly, teammates. Or, to his teammates and, more importantly, employer. It’s a fine line that divides one form of loyalty from another.  I’d say more, but I’m all awash in ambivalence.  And I’m more than a little anxious to hear about the test results.

If you’re like me, then your feelings about San Antonio players playing in international competition race around like the hormones of a pubescent teen. My guess is that Peter Holt would like to pay tax bills while watching Tony Parker make baskets rather than watching him make eyes at Eva from a seat behind the bench. But it’s difficult for me to fully appreciate the value that playing for one’s country has to internationals. American fans have a difficult time wrapping their mind around the fact that international players value gold medals more than gold trophies.

A thread over at SpursTalk touches on this. If you make your way over, notice the difference of opinion between American and French posters. The Americans approach this question from a best-for-the-team, protect-your-assets standpoint.   The French posters see the Spurs’ (over?)zealous concern for Parker as potentially damaging to his relationship with the franchise. What if Parker is really okay and San Antonio’s doctors come to the same conclusions as the French doctors? If France struggles without Parker and fails to qualify for play in September, will Parker hold a grudge against San Antonio for sabotaging the aspirations of his national team?

It’s a complicated debate. It’s complicated by the fact that neither position is arguing something as simple as right and wrong.

  • Nick (Italy)

    Tim,

    What about trying to ship Bonner, cash (to even the salaries) and a 2nd round pick to Golden State for Brandan Wright instead of trading him for essentially a roster spot?

    While BW had two disappointing years in the league, I think the gamble is good, both in the short run (he’s a combo forward who can play as a big 3 or a quick 4, despite definitely missing the 3pt range) and in the long run (if he has a strong training camp, the FO can exercise the option included in his rookie contract, if not, he basically would be the same expiring contract Bonner is).

    Golden State is clearly going with Randolph (who, obviously, is far better) and I think they are quite open to trade young players with potential who saw limited PT in exchange of… nothing/Devean George.

  • andrizzle

    ok the bucs waived bruce. time to pick him up.

  • mori1040

    Nick,

    That’s an intriguing prospect you bring up there with the Brandon Wright trade. But ultimately, I don’t think BW would really have a place in SA’s system. They need someone who can defend not only mobile 4′s but also bigs who can play with their back to the basket (like Bynum, Gasol, Howard).

    Speaking as someone who attended about a dozen games last season and watched most of the rest on TV, BW gets absolutely manhandled in the post. Did you see Gasol snap his shoulder like a wishbone? He missed a good 1/3 of the season due to that injury.

    He does have a nice developing offensive game around the basket and rebounds and blocks shots at a pretty good rate. If the Spurs were in total rebuild mode, I’d say go for it, but at this stage he’s really a long term project. What with Ian’s development and Splitter on the way, combined with the addition of defensive minded bigs like Ratliff and McDyess, Brandon just doesn’t have a niche on this team as I see it.

    If we could just somehow turn Bonner into Azubuike, now you’re talking. He D’d up Kobe last year better than George Hill, plus shot 45% from 3.

  • rocko.texas

    Didn’t the Spurs openly covet Jason Kidd just after winning the ’03 championship? I’m sure that didn’t go over well with Tony, although it did motivate him to further his development as a player. I’m not sure I see a silver lining in this tiff (if the story is even accurate). However, I don’t see how it could be that damaging to the relationship between Tony and the organization.

    Concerning Bowen, I would love to have him back with the organization, especially if we can open up a roster spot with a trade. If it means cutting Williams or Hairston, I would have to think about it a little bit longer. Essentially we would be signing Bruce for one year and losing (potentially) either of those players for good. I personally would trust Bowen, even at his age, more than anyone else to cover Kobe on those critical end-of-game shots.

  • lvmainman

    Kaveh – love the perspective, you bring to the Spurs site as a laker fan

    Odom #3 in +/- in Nba?? Cause he always plays with Kobe #5 and Gasol? Shocker!

    Why don’t you extol the amazingness of Bonner on this site, #20 in +/- in Nba? Best of any Spur! If that is such an important criteria? Higher than Nash, Anthony, Gasol, Nowitski, Rondo, Bosh, Parker, Pierce, Billups, Turkoglu etc.,etc. Please…..give me a break.

    Watch what happens to Jefferson’s +/-, playing with Parker and Duncan all the time.

    I’m surprised the Lakers don’t want an asterisk next to their championship, i.e. “the year all our competitors were injured”, seeing that all-stars Ginobili, Garnett, and Nelson were all hurt.

    Signing Odom was a must, but seeing how he said, if the Lakers had lowered the offer to the mid-level for 5 yrs like Miami, he’d have signed anyway, the Lakers clearly overpaid.

    We’ll see if Artest can shoot 50% from 3 in the playoffs with the same open looks that Ariza got.

    I hope the Spurs sign Bowen back, he would be an important defensive cog come playoff time. Brent Barry left bitter, and look how limited his playing time with the Rockets was this past year.

    Go Spurs Go

  • Bentley

    I just think of something funny. Just like Horry had left LA to sign with us, I wonder what would happen had Trevor Ariza decided to sign with us instead of the Rockets…

    He may not fit very well into our system, but its an intriguing thought.

  • rocko.texas

    lvmainman,

    I agree with your points about +/- being a misleading statistic. I would guess Odom’s is further enhanced by the fact that he is a staring-caliber player who frequently came off the bench. There is no debate that he is a game-changer when he’s on, however, and a big matchup problem for our Spurs.

    I can’t believe I’m doing this but I do have to defend Artest. As a resident of Houston, and a secondary Rockets fan (sorry!), I do have to point out that Artest (at least in his time here) was a great spot-up shooter from beyond the arc. He should thrive off open looks he gets playing with Kobe and Gasol. Unlike Ariza, however, he doesn’t stick to his role, and takes many other terrible shots and over-dribbles.

    Additionally, although he is no longer good at defending quicker guards (Batter did a superior job defending Roy and Bryant, and accordingly was given the primary responsibility), he should be a good defender against one LeBron James (or other strong wings). So the signing may make sense from that perspective. Unfortunately Kobe is good enough defensively to cover the quicker assignments, like Manu.

    As pointed out before, Ariza has had some of the most success against Tony’s penetration. By swapping for Artest, Tony should have a field day against the Lakers. For that reason, along with the questionable ability of Artest to stick to his role, I am not too worried about his signing. Odom will be more of a problem for the Spurs, in my opinion.

  • rocko.texas

    *Battier

  • BB

    I can’t think of a single roster spot I’d willingly give to Bowen right now. He’s not good enough and his career is just about over. He can’t defend Kobe either – Kobe shot better than 50% that entire series in the conference finals two years ago. At the other end, he makes us a 4-man team. I don’t even think he’s good enough any more to put in on defense every other possession at the end of the game. He’s just not that good right now – he’s a 38 year-old man who’s made a career out of defending the league’s best, and he’s just not up to it any more. I don’t see this as disloyalty, and I don’t think Bruce would either. I was really sad to see Malik Rose and Stephen Jackson go, too, but we just found other ways to win.

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  • http://www.48minutesofhell.com Timothy Varner

    Nick,

    If the Spurs could get BW for Bonner then they’d do it in a heartbeat.

  • Ian

    Bonner for a roster spot is a good idea, in my opinion at least (future draft pick and/or cash in return can still be used in possible future trades right?). Let’s not forget the spurs are over the luxury tax line and Peter Holt isn’t one of the richest owner in the league. I’m assuming at least 2 million of salary can be shed if Bonner is replaced by (veteran-minimum-paid) Bowen, and that’s 4 million saved on Mr. Holt’s account when we consider the luxury tax.

    Sure, Bonner may have some nice skills but let’s face it: he’s a defensive liability. Even at 38, Bowen can still defend and knock down occasional 3s.

  • Rand

    Kaveh,

    Actually, I think my post is a pretty good assessment of what is likely to happen.

    - I didn’t say that *fans* don’t like Kobe. Who cares who the fans like? I said he’s an unlikeable guy as a teammate – he’s not a locker room leader, never has been, and pretty much every story I’ve read about his petty spats with guys he’s supposed to be inspiring bear that out. Which was the entire point. I’m sure he’s no less likeable now than he was during previous Lakers championship series – but he doesn’t have Shaq now, and he may not be able to count on other teams’ injuries giving him a soft road to a ring.

    - Lamar Odom is the best role player in the entire NBA? You’re certainly entitled to your opinion, I just don’t think anybody else on the planet shares it, including Lamar Odom. And I wasn’t calling him a pothead who punked out to put him down – I was calling him a pothead who punked out because he’s a pothead, and because he punked out. Which, in the context of whether or not we’re gonna see a serious level of effort from him next season after he signs a multi-year contract with a team that dissed him, seems pretty relevant.

    - “…in almost all aspects of the game, Artest is a better player (than Ariza).” Well, except for the aspects of not jacking up terrible shots, not disappearing for minutes at a stretch, not breaking plays, not having lost a step since his vaunted defensive heyday, not being on a steep career downslope, and not being a total lunatic.

  • andrizzle

    This just in… Ron Artest is a lunatic.

  • Bentley

    http://www.hardwoodparoxysm.com/2009/07/30/oh-okay-when-you-explain-it-that-way-what-you-did-seems-perfectly-logical/

    It’s a link that shows a video of Ron artest talking about the Brawl in the Pacers-Pistons game.

    It’s proof that the man is just unremorseful, and just plain crazy

  • Kareem

    I am an unabashed Laker fan. But I love the Spurs (as I love any second-best competition) too. I believe that a healthy Spurs team will compete with the Lakers. Who has the advantage? Only time will tell.

    My opinion is that next year’s Lakers squad is much different (and improved) from last year’s team. With a healthy Andrew Bynum (are those church bells tolling for a wedding or funeral?) and the addition of Ron Artest, dynamics for the Lakers second unit will probably transform/change the most. What we’re likely to see are second-unit lineups of Bynum/Gasol-Odom-Artest+parts. This year the people who (wishfully) dog Kobe’s “mileage” will be silent. Similarly, Derek Fisher and Pau Gasol might work a lot less during the regular season–ensuring they’ll be fresh for what’s important.

    Ron Artest is probably one of the most entertaining characters in the NBA. Beyond the Palace incident, he’s a good enough guy. Loopy, but entertaining. He’s going to fit in perfectly as a 3-pt specialist on the starting squad and as a first, second or third scoring option on the second unit. He’ll probably get 10-12 shots a game and those posessions are coming from players like Sasha, Farmar, and Fish. I’ll take Artests 35-40% 3-pt shooting to any of the aforementioned players.

    One of the pitfalls of Ariza was his inability to initiate offense. He don’t have a low-post game, he don’t have a handle, and he don’t do much else than spot-up and slash. Which is great–no–perfect for the first unit: but not so great for the second. Kobe likely logged significant minutes with the second team because Ariza could not “handle” any offensive responsibilities beyond his limited role. The advent of Artest likely means significant reductions in playing time for many of the starters. Over a season, that time accumulates and amounts to something. I know that Spurs fans are cognizant of playing-time dynamics and recognize their importance for a deep playoff run.

    Really, Artest’s integration comes down to a conflict of force (Artest’s playing personality) and form (the Lakers’ system). I believe that the Triangle offense is perfect for a player like Artest; and that the team already has many strong personalities and a winning culture that will dictate Artest’s participation. Maybe this is optimism, maybe not. But I have a feeling deep in the pitiest of my stomach that the Artest crash-n’-burn camp are g(r)asping for hope.

    For the Spurs: I know that Pop sits starters to keep them rested, but how have recent additions impacted this approach? Do the Spurs have enough depth now to play everyone for 82 (god willing)? How do y’all foresee the first and second teams shaking out? Which will be the most affected units, how does playing time change, etc.?

    This really is a great time for Basketball. Are we there yet?
    Sorry for the LA-invasion, but what can I say, I love this blog.

  • Beat Counselor

    Rand- I’ve got no love for the lakers or kobe (I’m a spurs fan thru and thru) and I agree with everything in ur posts, but for the sake of even handedness I must concede that Kobe showed less cockiness and smugness and overall more maturity and humility last year. Gotta love the 08 celtics for that!

    Also I would tend to agree that odom might indeed be the best role player in the NBA, but that’s probably more because of his limited role behind gasol and bynum along with the fact that on most other teams he would be at least a second or third option. Underperforming and very versatile star=greatest role player.

    On a different note, as good as the Spurs are this year, and as many players (and potential) we have in our front court right now, we still don’t have a legit 7 foot presence compared to the Lakers who have 2!

    But hey, since when has height mattered in the NBA? Oh…

  • Kareem

    Well, you do have Tim Duncan. He’s no slouch.

    Another question for Spurs fans (that watched the finals): After “witnessing” Gasol’s work on Howard, would you say that he’s approaching Duncan’s defensive skill level? I know they have slightly different skill sets; but I have to say I was very impressed (and surprised) by Pau’s performance (not that he didn’t bring it consistently throughout the year) in comparison to the ’08 debacle.

  • Beat Counselor

    Kareem-

    Unabashed Laker fan that loves the Spurs? Now I’ve heard it all.

    As far as I can tell, how the new look Spurs rest their players and manage their starting and bench this year will be determined entirely by the durability of Tim and Manu (duh). Personally I don’t think we have the frontcourt talent to rest Tim any more than we have in the recent past (especially when we play the elite teams).

    I see MG coming off the bench like he did before 09 now that we have a slasher in RJ.

    I also see Hill getting decent minutes…he’s definitely maturing nicely.

    We do have the depth now to rest Timmy and Manu more during back to backs and while playing lesser competition, which will undoubtedly be welcomed come playoff time. Yet the regular season success of our front court may give us false confidence going into the post season.

    If you couldn’t tell by my previous post, I’m still worried that our front court is still not elite. I know TD is no slouch, he’s my favorite player of all time (besides #23 of course), but TD for 33 min/g and Dice for 30 min/g just isn’t enough to contain Gasol (37 min/g) AND Bynum AND Odom and let’s not forget the oft unmentioned and underrated Josh Powell. Haislip/Bonner/Ratcliff/Blair must must must step up and contribute quality minutes for us to have any chance against LA in a 7 game series, simple as that.

    As a Spurs fan, of course I hope they do, but the realist in me hopes our FO takes some action to consolidate that talent into a singular impact big man by the trade deadline. Who? Chandler, Gortat and Camby would have all made me so happy this summer…

    Which leads us to whether Pau Gasol is as good a defensive player as Duncan now. Interesting how you worded this question. Not who’s a better player now, but whether he’s approaching TD’s defensive skill level. Surprisingly tactful for a Laker fan ;)

    I think that Gasol is an underrated defensive player and gets labeled soft because of his play at C. When he’s the PF, he can almost always hold his own (although Scola did do a number on him). Not sure if I would go so far as to credit Gasol with shutting down Dwight Howard….I’d say it was more of a team effort along with smart coaching. Howard’s offensive game, as your name sake – Abdul Jabbar pointed out, can be painfully predictable.

    I also see Gasol’s defensive play as more like what I’d expect from an energy big man coming off the bench, he runs the floor and hustles and can make things happen on d. On the other hand, one-on-one in a half-court situation against a big man that has a proper, post and back to the basket game? Pau is no Tim Duncan. But then again, how many bigs play with their back to the basket anymore? Not Dwight Howard, that’s for sure…

    Bottom line, TD is without question an all-time all-defensive PF, especially when it comes to half-court styled basketball. Pau gains ground on Timmy for being more spry and athletic than TD (at this point in time), in a league that is seemingly less half-court oriented which favors Gasol’s defensive style…

    As far as I can tell at least…

  • SpursfanSteve

    Beat Counselor-
    spot on with your analysis of the Gasol/Duncan question. Couldnt agree more, and definitely couldnt have said it as well, much less better myself. But i would like to elaborate a bit on something you mentioned: Pau is labeled soft because he often has to play at center instead of PF. I think this is a huge reason that Duncan is still much better defensively than Pau. Starting towards the end of The Admirals career, Duncan was forced to guard the other teams premier big man. Tim has often had to play the younger Shaq, and shut him down. Pau one on one against a 28-30 year old Shaq would have gotten completely abused, Duncan held his own. My point is that Duncan has always been able to match up well against the 4 or the 5 from the other team and Pau really only matches up well with most teams 4′s.

    I do not agree that our frontcourt is not elite. The lack of a single dominant big next to Timmy does not mean that we wont be able to hold our own. Having the multiple bigs that we have allows us to match up with anyone. Ratcliff is an excellent defender and should be able to do some good work on Bynum or Gasol. Blair is a solid energy/rebounding guy. We have no idea what to expect from Mahinmini. Bonner can strectch the floor and keep other bigs from guarding the paint. I dont know anything about Haislip, to be honest, but even if our rotation is TD/McDyess/Blair/Bonner/Ratcliff, i think we can play the matchup game. We’ll pick our poison with the lakers and let Lamar go off and just shut everyone else down. In previous years its how we beat the suns, the cavs, and even the lakers. Lets look at it this way. Kobe will get 30 points a game against us- but we’ll make him work for it like we always do. We’ll throw a body on Lamar, but we wont let him be a passer or a playmaker. We make him a scorer. So he gets 30 a game. We can hold Artest to 20 no problem. But then where are the touches for the other Lakers bigs? The average NBA team takes what, 90 shots a game against us? To get his 30 points, Kobe will have to take at least 20 shots. Artest will probably need about 15 to get to his 20 points. To get his 30, we’ll say Lamar has a good day and only needs 15 shots. Bynum and Gasol have at most 20 shots a piece. With Duncan guarding Gasol, its unlikely more than 10 of those shots are going in, so we’ll say he gets 15 points. We’ll say Bynum gets 15 as well. That puts the lakers at 110 points. Dont be discouraged by these numbers, because they are hypothetical and for Lakers fans, that has to be the best case scenario, because realistically there is no way all those guys will go off like that on the same night- because those wont be the only guys shooting the ball. Fish will launch some 3′s, Farmar/Vujajic/Walton will shoot some. And all that takes away from your best players opportunities.

    Basically, we still have the advantage of being able to control the pace. I think we’ve proven that with discipline, its much easier to slow down a game than it is to speed one up. If we hold our opponents to 90 possessions a game or less, we will win, its that simple. Our defense will be much, much better this year because of our added bigs. Ratcliff is a good defender, Blair is a good defender, Mahinmini might be a good defender. Bonner will get spot minutes and wont be abused by the lakers second string of Mbenga/whoever else. We just have to play Spurs basketball, slow it down, and play to our strengths. If i’m not mistaken, its how this blog got its name- playing against the Spurs is 48 minutes of slow, grind it out basketball. Its 48 minutes that feels like an eternity. Its 48 minutes of Hell.

  • DanielB

    You know, Lamar Odom is still the guy that shows up once every blue moon.

    Yes he’s an awkward person to defend because of his versatility, but that’s if he’s actually going to play well that night. And let’s face it, he doesn’t show up every night.

  • Kaveh

    BB + Jblock,

    Jefferson’s +- is surprisingly awful, and it has nothing to do with how bad his team is. Here is the link: http://www.82games.com/0809/0809MIL.HTM

    The Bucks last year scored .7 points MORE than their opponents when Jefferson was OFF the floor. The Bucks last year scored -1.7 points LESS than their opponents when Jefferson was ON the floor. So his +- is very bad. But this is just 1 stat.

    Also, it has nothing to do with how good your team is, since it is comparing how your team does against its opponents with you on/off the court. If you put Lebron on the worst team in the league, he would have the best +- in the league –perhaps the number would even be higher on the worst team because their is such a relative difference.

  • Kaveh

    ivmainman,

    I hope that you are not serious regarding this comment:

    “I’m surprised the Lakers don’t want an asterisk next to their championship, i.e. “the year all our competitors were injured”, seeing that all-stars Ginobili, Garnett, and Nelson were all hurt.”

    I give spurs fans the highest of merits, and this argument seems a little below you guys (as a collective at least, i’m not really familar with your comments since i don’t spend much time on this blog).

    To quickly answer that, there are injuries in every year. I could use the same exact argument for the 08 celtics –should they have an asterix around their championship because they played the lakers who were missing 2 starters? Andrew Bynum and Trevor Ariza did not play in the playoffs that year due to injury. Believe me, it would have been nice to see Ariza playing D on Pierce rather than Vlade Rodmanavich and Luck Walton (no wonder Pierce was finals MVP and not Garnett). Also, who can forget just this last year –Bynum came back with only 4 games to go in the regular season. As you saw in the playoffs and the NBA finals, he was only 50% of his true self, not to mention rusty.

    Again, these arguments are childish. Everyone can make them again and again. The fact is that the Lakers won the championship last year. Instead of attempting to discredit that championship, you should give them the credit they deserve and try to dethrown them next year.

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