Draft Prospect: Victor Claver

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In early May I promised a series of posts on draft prospects who seemed a good fit for San Antonio. I earmarked 8 players for future posts, 4 of which are now complete. Follow the links to read about Omri Casspi (and here and here), Vladimir Dasic (withdrew), Sergio Llull, and Danny Green (and here). Additionally, Graydon took a stab at Sam Young (and here), who now ranks highly on my personal wish list. I want to pick up on my original list with a post about Victor Claver.

In terms of raw talent, the Spurs will have few chances at a better second round selection than the 6’10” combo forward from Spain. If Claver slips to 37, the Spurs will have to think long and hard about passing him up. Whether or not he lasts to 37 is another question entirely, but Claver recently signed a 3 year deal in Spain and would prefer being drafted in the 2nd round to avoid the rookie scale. The Spurs should have an outside shot at him.

The story on Claver is this: he’s an extremely athletic forward with an excellent 3 point shot and the ability to finish above the rim. Until last December, he was a surefire first round pick. That was until he fractured his left leg. Now teams don’t know what to expect from him, which is compounded with dealing with his buyout in order to secure his services. But the kid is just 21, and all that seems like a risk well worth taking.

Although, he’s listed as a combo forward, I have a hard time imagining him as anything other than a 3. He can score in the post, but he’s more or less a face-up and transition player. Moreover, he lacks the strength to guard the post.

About the time I started these profiles, Gregg Popovich was in Spain visiting his good friend Neven Spahija. In addition to being one of the world’s best coaches and a friend to the Spurs, Spahija is also Claver’s coach. While in Valencia, Popovich conceded that he and his scouts have been impressed with Claver, and it’s fair to say that he is a player they’ve watched closely.

Now of course the unavoidable conclusion to this is not that the Spurs necessarily want to draft Claver. The Spurs probably have 3 times as many players they’re interested in as picks. But as we approach the draft, he’s a player you should be aware of. If the Spurs do select him, we can at least take confidence in the fact that they’ve done their due diligence. And I would still maintain this position even if they move into the first to draft a player like Sam Young, Omri Casspi or Jonas Jerebko. Talent is talent, and sometimes you have to bet on more than one horse in order to win at the races.

A person within the Spurs organization recently told me “we understand that all franchises make some good decisions (Tony Parker), some bad decisions (Jackie Butler) and then need a little luck (Duncan and Ginobili) …” To my mind, drafting a player like Claver constitutes a good decision. But the Spurs will still need that oft-forgotten measure of good luck for the draft to be a success.

You won’t learn much from this YouTube clip, but it’s fun to watch (grainier, longer option here):

  • D Counts

    So if the Spurs do draft Claver does that mean they won’t bring him over until his contract is up? Or does he have buyout options in his contract? Do you think it would be worth it to draft him at 37 (assuming he’s still available)?

  • BlaseE

    Tim, do you see a way where we keep our 2nd round picks but use our expiring contracts to get a 1st round pick? Finley is the only player we can’t trade before July 1st, right? New Orleans at 21 seems like an option if we were willing to take on Posey, Daniels (solves our backup PG problems), or Peterson? Also, do you think the Spurs are so aggressive this off season that they would try to get more than 1 pick in the first round if possible?

  • raynmaker

    Victor Claver looks like a Hedo Turkoglu with hops to me. Parker alley oop lobs to Claver? I wouldn’t mind seeing that, since Pops left.

  • http://www.48minutesofhell.com Timothy Varner

    BlaseE,

    Yes. yes, and yes.

    The Spurs could simply buy a pick, for example.

    I’m not sure about more than one first, but I don’t think it’s unthinkable. But there are only so many roster spots. Because of that the Spurs would trade their seconds or draft and stash.

  • http://www.48minutesofhell.com Timothy Varner

    D Counts,

    They’d probably have to wait at least a year. And yes, he’s worth it. The most talented guys in the second round, except for Patrick Beverley, are internationals. I’d wait for all of them. Besides, we’re talking about the second round. How many second round picks stick to rosters. 5?

  • http://www.48minutesofhell.com Timothy Varner

    Not such a bad comparison, actually.

  • BlaseE

    I’m just thinking players like Sam Young or Casspi who have a reputation as tenacious defenders could compete for minutes next season, but getting a backup PG like (and I’m just throwing a name out because I’ve seen it a lot recently) Nando de Colo could play in France for another year. That is very appealing. To continue with de Colo as an example, he is only 21 but in France he has had 3 seasons in a row of playing at least 26 games at around 26 mpg. We can’t get him that kind of playtime behind our current guards. Plus we keep him out of the rookie scale so it’s easier to bring him over later.

    On roster spots, isn’t it advantageous to get two more roster spots locked in to rookie scale for the next couple years rather than pay a veteran 2-4 million per? Doesn’t that help us if we want to bring in a 5-7 million dollar guy with the MLE?

    Look at OKC’s roster through 2010 and its amazing the talent they have in Durant, Westbrook, and Green and the money they still have available. Add Thabeet and another first rounder at pick 25 this draft. Its really amazing what Presti has done. Its easy to draft those high picks but that team is in a position to go after whoever they want.

    http://www.shamsports.com/content/pages/data/salaries/thunder.jsp