Series Prediction

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I just realized I had neglected to formally predict the series outcome: Spurs in 6.

For a very thorough list of series predictions from columnists, bloggers, and stat geeks, check out this post over at the Two Man Game.

  • Episode IV: Manu Hope

    Based on a first quarter of:

    1. Tony Parker running a lay up drill
    2. Bowen and Findog stroking the corner 3’s
    3. Findog/Bowen drawing the offensive fouls on Dirk

    I am starting to think Spurs in 6 might prove to be a conservative prediction.

    I don’t expect to win every quarter by 11, but Dallas is looking bothered by the defense. The Spurs are looking calm, cool and collected, like always. We’ll see if the second unit can play close to even and make this a walk.

    I feel like there was a meeting within the last few days when somebody asked Pop who was going to guard Dirk and he said, “What do you mean? We’re just going to have our five guys guard their five guys. So…. to answer your question… everybody is going to guard him.”

    I am really liking the plan to bracket Dirk and pick him up when he comes across the lane.

  • Episode IV: Manu Hope

    ……. and then it fell apart.

  • gospurs44

    1 quarter doesn’t a series make!!

  • SpurredOn

    Everybody keep your heads up. The leaders on this team won’t panic nor should we (just avoid the TV heads again predicting doom in San Antonio). Scoring won’t be a problem; matter of fact there were many scores left out there tonight, some from unlucky bounces (that Dallas seemed to get) and others just easy misses. This just means this series will go 6 games before we win instead of 5.

    Good news: We lost at home in gm 1 round 1 in 2003, 2005 & 2007, the latter two in uninspiring performances similar to tonight. Those years ended just fine.

    Bad news: The guys wasted 27 from TD and 19 from Finley on a night both Terry and Dirk were under 20pts. Credit the Dallas bench for scoring but it was made easier by the many offensive rebounds and poor execution of the defense.

    Lastly, baring a four game win streak to win this in 5, the main way we would go deep into the playoffs was to minimize the number of games played. Giving away tonight’s game goes against that plan.

    Question - anyone explain to me how TD shot 1 FT all game?

  • http://rctorres.net RC

    I’ve noticed a disturbing trend since the Phoenix series in 2007 - it seems any time the Spurs have a big lead in the first half, they blow it consistently. They get complacent and stop caring and the other team takes advantage, or once they dig themselves out of a hole on a 9-0 run, they’ll give up 9 again. Inversely, if they’re down by a lot early, sometimes their experience pulls them over the top. In that Phoenix series, the loser of about half the games seemed to be up by almost 20 at halftime. Or even on X-mas day, Phoenix started the game on an 11-0 run before we stole it at the buzzer. I propose spotting every team ten points at the start to make sure the guys have a fire in their belly for the whole game :P.

    And how could the refs blow that push on TD’s back? Dubya-Tee-Eff.