On predictions and process
This is right about the time of year where I get the same question a lot, especially given how closely I follow the Spurs. How do you think San Antonio is going to do this year? I’ve been asked it plenty over the last few weeks and expect it much more going forward. I don’t know how much people actually like my response, but I think it’s pretty accurate.
Same. They’re gonna win 50+ games and make the playoffs. Then we’ll see what happens.
That’s the honest to goodness truth. It’s not sexy, that’s for sure. There are no bold proclamations, just what I think is true, which I hope is what you expect from me.
We’re so far along in this era of Spurs basketball that we can predict the future. As long as there are no catastrophic injuries to Tim Duncan or Tony Parker during the regular season, the Spurs will be in the same position they always are. (Can we agree that Manu Ginobili will get hurt again? It’s not matter of if, but when; last year the Spurs were fortunate that he got his injury out of the way early in the season.)
Some might find this boring. Maybe as a casual fan, it is. On average, the Spurs are going to win two out of every three games. What’s the point of tuning in to every telecast? If you’re reading this site, though, chances are you aren’t a casual fan.
For me, it’s great. I don’t have to care about the macro of the season, like whether or not they’re going to make the playoffs, and can instead focus on the process. I can devote my time and attention to watching how the Spurs defend the pick-and-roll against the Thunder, instead of tracking what scoring run San Antonio is on that particular game. I want to focus on Manu Ginobili doing Manu Ginobili things when healthy, marvel at Tim Duncan’s footwork in the post and track how Kawhi Leonard and Danny Green develop as individual and team defenders.
The process will dictate how the Spurs fare in the post season far more than playoff seeding. And once the playoffs start, that’s when things become unpredictable.