Advanced Scouting: Golden State Warriors at San Antonio Spurs
Golden State Warriors at San Antonio Spurs 7:30 CST December 8, 2010
The last time these two teams met, a little more than one week ago, the Spurs beat the Warriors handily by the score of 118-98. Tim Duncan had a triple-double and Manu Ginobili contributed 27 points on 13 shots to go with five steals. Stephen Curry scored 32 points on 22 field goal attempts, but also turned the ball over five times.
My scouting preview for this matchup called for the Spurs to force Ellis and Curry to pass out of pick and rolls, while attacking the Warriors backcourt on isolations in an attempt to get to the line.
The Warriors ran the pick-and-roll through Curry a staggering 18 times. Nine times the Spurs forced Curry to pass the ball off the pick, which resulted in only two points. In contrast, Curry scored 10 points when he took the shot himself.
On offense, the Spurs conjured up 31 free throws, nearly twice as many as the Warriors, but Synergy Sports only credited the Spurs with five isolation possessions. The Spurs predominantly thrived on the pick-and-roll and the transition. Parker and Ginobili combined to head 20 pick-and-roll derived possessions resulting in 25 points.
The Spurs also excelled at creating transition opportunities off Warriors turnovers. In total, they scored seven baskets (including one trey) and drew five fouls in 21 transition possessions. The Spurs held the Warriors to only 13 fast breaks.
Statistical Team Summary
Golden State: -5.11 (24th)
San Antonio: 8.25 (2nd)
|Player||Fraction of teams minutes||PER minus Counterpart PER||2 Year Net PER||On court +/-per 48 minutes||Off court +/-per 48 minutes||2 Year Adjusted +/-|
Most valuable/utilized lineups:
Curry,Ellis,D.Wright,Lee,Biedrins +62 in 354 Minutes
The Spurs are playing at home coming off two days rest, whereas the Warriors will be playing in a back to back road game. The Spurs are ranked by SRS as the second best team in the NBA and the Warriors are the 24th. The great thing about the NBA is that any team can win any game, but the odds in this one clearly favor the Spurs.