Advanced Scouting: San Antonio Spurs at Toronto Raptors
San Antonio Spurs at Toronto Raptors 6:00 CST February 9, 2011
The Spurs overcame a cold 1st half of shooting to down the Raptors 104-95 on January 19. Dejuan Blair led the way with 8 offensive rebounds and 11 of 16 shooting (22 points +15 plus/minus). Despite shooting only 4 of 13 from the field, Manu Ginobili connected on all 14 of his free throws and finished with 23 points and 7 assists. For Toronto, DeMar DeRozan had made 10 of 19 field goals and 8 of 9 free throws for 28 points. DeRozan also had 5 turnovers and 4 steals. My advanced scouting report suggested the Spurs utilize Blair on a lot of cuts to the rim and limit the good three point looks for Bargnani.
The Spurs were able to limit Andrea Bargnani to 14 points on 20 field goal attempts, allowing only one made three pointer. Two Of Blairâ€™s 11 made field goals were putbacks and the other 9 were all assisted. (3 on jumpers of 4, 6 and 10 feet and the rest were layups.)
The Raptors ran 19 isolations and Although the Spurs allowed a lot of fast break points (19), they forced Toronto to take difficult shots in the half court. Toronto only scored 4 points off of cuts and 11 by way of spot up attempts.
The Spurs shots weren’t falling, but they were able to create manageable shots. Despite missing 9 of 11 three point attempts on spot-ups, they scored 16 points on 22 such possessions (a missed shot counts as a possession in Synergy regardless of the rebounder). San Antonio also scored 9 points on 8 cuts and 22 points on 15 fast breaks.
Toronto: -5.47 (27th)
San Antonio: 7.14 (1st)
|Player||Fraction of teams minutes||PER minus Counterpart PER||On court +/-per 48 minutes||Off court +/-per 48 minutes||2 Year Adjusted +/-|
Calderon, Weems, Derozan, Johnson, Bargnani -29 in 185 (-5.7 per 48)
Calderon, Derozan, Wright, Johnson, Bargnani +11 in 93 (+7.5 per 48)
The Spurs and Raptors will both be playing the second of a back-to-back. The Raptors, who also traveled from the Midwest, lost to Milwaukee 92-74 last night.
Toronto has struggled mightily as of late, 14 of their last 15 games. Since losing the Spurs, they have lost by double digits in 7 of their last 10 meetings, despite playing 7 of these games against subpar teams. Barbosa, Kleiza have been the most significant recent injuries suffered by the Raptors and Matt Bonner recently returned for the Spurs. (He looked pretty good to me last night, especially for the first game back.)
Back-to-back road games always create an added degree of uncertainty, but if the Spurs shots fall this time around, tonight’s game could be the easiest of their road stretch.