The Hangover’s Bad but the Party Was Fun, So Let’s Do It Again

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It’s a stat that just sticks in your head like a shitty Carly Rae Jepsen song: The Spurs went 21-4 over their final 25 games, including an 11-1 stretch to end the season; and as their grand prize for sporting the league’s best record and best net rating during that stretch, they moved from seventh to sixth in the standings.

Should’ve gone 22-3, I guess.

San Antonio looked mortal for the first time in weeks — perhaps with the exception of Friday’s thriller in Houston — in a game with stakes as big as you’ll see in a season finale, losing 108-103 in New Orleans. A win would’ve earned the 2-seed; the loss dropped them into a 3-v-6 matchup with the Clippers.

But first things first: Bravo, Pelicans. That was a do-or-die game — easily the biggest of the Anthony Davis era — and they freaking killed it. That team deserves to be in the playoffs, not the Thunder (not an indictment of OKC, it’s just been an awful, awful year). I’m really, really looking forward to that matchup with the Warriors, and I think it’ll give Golden State a bigger test than Russell Westbrook and Co. would have.

Back to the Spurs. For the first time during this entire run of elite play, that team looked tired. When it made its run in the second half, that extra boost wasn’t there, and for the first time in a long time, the defense was getting picked apart.

When was the last time San Antonio gave up at least 108 points? It was the night Kyrie Irving lit the AT&T Center on fire, in overtime, more than a month ago. Hell, prior to last night, the Spurs had allowed 100 points in just one of their last 11 games.

Still, there’s no sense in dwelling on this. Be honest with yourself: A month ago, most of you would’ve been OK with, “Well, it’s been a rough year overall, but they’re playing really well right now so I’ll take the 6-seed.” I know it’s sort of torturous to watch this team go on such a brilliant run to the finish line, only to trip over the last hurdle. I get that. It feels like there was a lot of energy wasted.

But I don’t tend to look at it that way. It wasn’t long ago that the 2-seed was just a pipe dream, a mirage in the brutal Western Conference desert. You had already stocked up on water and supplies for that trek through the playoff landscape. You were prepared for THIS.

And up first on the docket: the Clippers.

It’s a great matchup, but it’s sort of a shame. You could argue these are two of the best three teams in the conference, and I’m not sure many objective viewers would debate it. But here they are, meeting in the first round.

Then again, you can also look at it in a different light: The first round of the Western Conference playoffs is going to be a blast. Warriors-Pelicans is going to be great, pitting a fire-breathing dragon against the Brow in his playoff debut; Rockets-Mavs is a hate-filled battle between Morey and Cuban; Grizzlies-Blazers is going to be entertaining in a weird, these-teams-are-beat-up-and-sort-of-have-a-chance-to-recover-now sort of way; and Spurs-Clippers is a matchup between two of the league’s best.

It was going to be a difficult path either way, but it certainly is unfortunate for the Spurs that home court is now gone. We all praise San Antonio for its ability to win on the road, and rightfully so; but the truth is, there’s been a drastic difference between the Spurs dressed in white and the Spurs dressed in black.

Life has been difficult away from the AT&T Center this year, particularly on the offensive end. San Antonio has been consistent defensively regardless of where the ball is tipped, but the offense is a different story. The Spurs’ offense has hummed along at home this season, scoring more than 110 points per 100 possessions, which would be a league-best; on the road, that number drops to 102 pp100p, which is very, VERY average. Even during their recent run, the offense has been pouring in more than 11 pp100p more than it does on the road (117.3 to 106.2).

Gregg Popovich and Tim Duncan seemed genuinely happy for Monty Williams as they hugged at mid-court. It was a big accomplishment, both for Williams and the team’s GM Dell Demps, who reportedly had a mandate to make the playoffs, injuries or no. But that had to sting. The Spurs charged hard after that 2-seed, a lot more ferociously than we’re accustomed to seeing. There were no rest nights, no limitations on minutes — there was no secret they wanted that advantage.

But at the last second, it slipped, and they’ll live with it. After all, they were shocked to be in position to move up in the first place, considering the way the season has gone. It is what it is, as Pop always says.

We’ll dive into things a bit more in the coming days, but there’s a reason we’re all a bit hungover. That party was fun. Still, there’s another one right around the corner, and the Spurs are still the favorites to win the series.

The playoffs are here, so puke and rally, folks! Let’s do it again.


  • rj

    Kawhi has to be transcendent to win number 6. I bet this is Manu’s last playoff run. He’s looked bad in recent weeks.

  • joe

    Deandre Jordan better be practicing his free throws. He will be shooting about 20 a game.

  • joe

    He looked AWFUL last night. Every time he drives he losses control of the ball. He needs to focus more on his mid range game and stop driving recklessly to the basket.

  • Jezav

    On a side note, one thing that I haven’t seen mentioned anywhere, is that should the Spurs make it back to the finals, they will have home court against anyone but the Hawks. I know there’s a lot of basketball to be played and I’m not saying they’ll make it back there, but I think it’s something to keep in the back of fans minds if they do make it to the second round, conf. finals, etc. (This is also something Clippers fans should keep in mind as it applies to them, too.) I don’t see the Hawks beating the Cavs, so any of GSW (of course), Clippers, or Spurs will have home court in the finals.

    Clippers series is going to be tough, but I’m excited to see how it goes down. I think the Spurs have a very slight overall edge - Spurs in seven. If they beat the Clippers, I think they are a shoe-in for the conf. finals. All we need now is for Pop to give Kawhi a few more shoulder punches to prompt him to his next, higher plane of Klaw-ness. Go Spurs Go!

  • TD BestEVER

    I don’t think we need Kawhi to be transcendent!! WE do need to limit live ball TO’s that give the other team fast break chances(see last night) . We do need ball movement to allow our depth to shine through. And we do need to make it hard of CP3, Crawford, Reddick to get into a rhythm. They way you do that is put Parker on Barnes and Green on Reddick/Crawford. Kawhi on Paul. Then we can just foul Jordan to slow then down if they get hot and just let out talent win out.

    Keep in mind that out starters will be playing more so we should be more productive than ever. Also putting Diaw in the game really boost our offense with minimal effects on D.

  • brunostrange

    I agree that he did not look good last night, and Kawhi will likely have to be the best player on the court in just about every game for SA to have a chance at the championship (how’s that for pressure). What concerns me more is this team’s propensity to come out and play unfocused, disengaged ball from time to time (these final two games being a prime example). Obviously they cannot afford to do this in the post-season.

  • Comrade747

    What was with that ball movement last night? Yeesh

  • hoopsaf

    Kawhi has excelled in playoffs so far. In every single year since he’s been in the league, he has put up better numbers in playoffs than in regular season.

    This team goes as far as Kawhi takes them this year IMO. They still need DG/Duncan/Tiago/etc. to contribute. But with the significant declines from Tony/Manu, this is Kawhi’s first true playoff test as ‘the’ alpha dog.

  • TD BestEVER

    Kawhi is going to be our best player, but he isn’t gonna have to carry this team. As long as he gives us his Defense and we get the great ball movement we have been getting the last 2 months or so of the year.

  • Ryan McShane

    25 games ago, I was looking at the Hollinger Playoff Odds and thinking, “How many games can the Spurs afford to lose?” The answer back then: four. Nobody was expected to win more than 55 games (I think Clippers and Grizz were at the top of the heap at about that number). The Hollinger Playoff Odds’ simulations fluctuated between 48 and 51 expected wins for the next dozen games or so. And here they are 55-27, 21-4 in their last 25. The West has played better than expected to keep the Spurs on the outside of home court looking in.

    The good news is that the Spurs have played better than everyone else in that span.

  • Abstractforms

    They need to set picks for Manu. He’s not going to be his man off the dribble straight up anymore, unless he’s setting himself up for a step-back jumper. At least, if they set a pick for him, he can split the defense and get into the lane through sheer craftiness.

    Kawhi at the end of games does not look good. He’s a bit out of sorts out there, and while he’s a great athlete in some senses, he does not have an explosive first step or great hang time ability. It still seems to me that the Spurs need to understand how to integrate Kawhi as a crunch time option, and I don’t know how any games they’ve done that successfully. It seems, with Manu a shell of himself, that Tim, Tony, and Boris are the end of game initiators. I’m not sure how I feel about this.

  • fkj74

    :> Good piece. Go Spurs!

  • Jordan Hedge

    Spurs only gave up 9 fast break points last night, and only 15 off of turnovers total. Think they’ll take that any day of the weak. Turnovers hurt, for sure. Biggest issue was they could not defend the pick and roll at all. That and NO shot lights out for most of the first half.

  • TD BestEVER

    We lost that game because we did several things wrong. Those 9 fast break points compared to our 2 is a 7 point difference. We lost by 5. And the big reason they got those fast break points was TO’s. Now our Defense is more than capable of covering up a 15 TO game, but they didn’t show up last night because we only had like 1 steal for the majority of the game and very few passes deflected. Also 2nd chance points hurts us, Any one of those 3 things doesn’t happen and we win despite how hot they were shooting.

  • Jordan Hedge

    Hmm…Spurs have given up on average 14 fast break points per game, so…that wasn’t the issue. You also mentioned the need for ball movement…Spurs had 33 assists last night, so…that wasn’t the issue.

  • TD BestEVER

    Well what was the issue? And yes I saw the ball movement but if you watch the game(which sounds like you didn’t) you would have heard Sean Elliot say the same things. Who cares what you average in THAT GAME last night 15 TO’s was WAY too many!!!! The 9 fast break points and ever the 5 made 3 pointers was too much. Because in that game we needed one of those to go our way to win and didn’t get it.

  • Dapimp Ofdayear

    LOL I was thinking the same thing!

  • RonJohn

    Beating Houston and Dallas leads to feeling of animalistic pride (I *hate* those teams!), but I admire the Spurs so much that beating them the other night was an achievement to be honorably proud of.

  • Emil E. Matula III

    During the bad stretch in the first quarter, Ginobili took two threes in between three Spurs turnovers. The shots were early in the clock before SA could set up their offense. He took another one in the fourth- I honestly think Pop took a time out just to tell him he was out of the game if he did it again.

  • thedrwolff

    Boris Looks good. Tony looks good. Timmy looks good. Right down the roster everyone looks great…except Manu. He’s had a hard Run this season. He looks good every other game. There’s still a lot of pressure on him to make things run in the second unit although I’m waiting to see what pop does down the stretch of tight games. This was always Manu time. With his game dropping off (and it’s still far better then an average NBA player , he still can do amazing things on BOTH ends from time to time.) will Popovitch STILL go to Manu in the crunch? Kawhi is going to do some amazing stuff in the playoffs and you can be sure Barnes is going to do some nasty if Kawhi starts to go off. I want to see how he reacts. It’s time for a Kawhi FU game. The difference in home and away scoring….Danny Green. The way JJ Redick has been shooting I like the clippers starting 5 over ours…but our TEAM is MUCH better then theirs. Can they play their starting 5 40 min a game and win is the question.

  • thedrwolff

    Here is an example of how to use your own brain and not be fooled by statistical data. The clippers ARE 14-1 in their last 15. This is true. Now take a look at their schedule back 20 games. Who are they playing and how did they do. Basically they haven’t beaten an elite team in the last 20 games and actually lost 3 in a row to elites before going on their run of taking out the NBA trash. Are they good. Sure, but like Golden State…be careful how good you think they are based on their recent streak. Golden State didnt have a transcendent year. They had a HEALTHY year in perhaps the most Brutally injured league we’ve ever seen. Take San Antonio and OKC out of last years standing and THAT is the west they won. Spurs in 6 If Kawhi plays like 22/8 Kawhi with 4 defensive plays a game. What is going on with Splitter…anyone?

  • TD BestEVER

    But keep in mind hat if Diaw starts like he did in tough match ups last year our Offense goes through the roof….. SO Our best 5 can still beat theirs because we have 3 great 2 way players and they just have 1. CP3 . Reddick and Blake don’t defend, Barnes, Jordan can score.

  • Thedrwolff

    Reddick in advanced metrics, is not as poor a defender as you might think. In fact he’s above league avg at SG (barely) which still doesnt put him into the same Zip code as Green. They will both be shooting threes at the same % yet Reddick is a true shooter who CAN actually make 16-20′ jump shots at a murderous rate. Blake I still can’t figure out. He’s a tremendously athletic player who can jump through the ceiling and runs well but is not much of a shot blocker. Powerfully built he is VERY hard to guard on the block for all but the Best defenders with length. Cp3 has had a below the radar MVP year if that’s possible but the media has a new LOVE for Golden State this year so the Clippers and what he was doing were yesterdays news. This may be his best year so far (health, assist to TO ratio, scoring) and he is ALWAYS capable of the virtuoso FU game if his three ball is hot. He has the BEST midrange jumper in the game and it rarely gets blocked which is the one thing we don’t have this year…the cutthroat closer…and that is why we lost all of those OT games. Manu, I love him, respect him, on my all time BBALL IQ team with Bird, Nash, Russell, and Barkley ( I stress BBALL IQ strongly here), but he is OLD Manu and it’s not fair to expect him to be jamming over Bosh to close games. “Help us oldeone ginobilli” isn’t bailing out the alliance any longer. It’s time for the Kawhi Leonard show. I just hope his handle is up to it.

    Side note: The clippers bench is SO sad I may actually feel sorry for them, except baby Davis crying for playing time, the bosses son, and HGH Torx a screw don’t really elicit the big eyed animal rescue heart strings. Where the Hell is our third big man? Duncan also loves the Clippers. The team he had the best outside shooting spree in 5 years against. Draining threes and 18 footers like he was Lemarcus Aldrige.

  • Aussiespur

    Spurs split first 2 and hold court, win in 5/6 or don’t win at all. Don’t underestimate clips - some big egos who really want to win. Small forward is our advantage though - in Kawhi we trust!

  • TD BestEVER

    Yeah I agree that Reddick is average or above average on D, but average in this series means absolutely nothing!!!!!!!!!!!!! He can’t alter or change Greens shot or keep him from driving to the rim. And Blake will never defend. So my point was basically we have 3 GAME CHANGING defenders, They really only have 1(Jordan). CP# can defend but with all the Pick and Roll’s we run he really will have a hard time staying in front of his man so that negates his talent there. So if both teams play their BEST, we should get EASIER/BETTER looks over the course of a series which should end up with us winning in 6.