Wayne Winston evaluates Spurs-Mavericks

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According to Winston, the Spurs will beat the Mavericks so long as Keith Bogans doesn’t receive too much burn. That, and DeJuan Blair and Matt Bonner should play together. (They did last night, and it didn’t seem to hurt.)

You’re right, it’s not that simple, but Winston raises several interesting points. Here’s how the Spurs will beat the Mavericks, stat geek style.

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  • BALLHOG

    @ RJ

    BINGO…Yes, Mahinmi must play in this series. He can get Dallas’ two bigs into some foul trouble. He will rebound, and if he is on the floor with Manu, he will score as well.

    I hope Pop is reading some of these posts. He should give Mavs a big dose of Duncan, Blair and Mahinmi. However, it will not work if Manu is not on the floor.

    If we see this lineup in this series, I guarantee it will kill Mavs.

    Also you are right to be concerned about the two back up guards. Other than Terry, those guys must be contained in this series.

  • TheRed&Black

    Manu-Kidd
    Temple-Butler
    RJ-Marion
    Dice-Dirk
    Duncan-Dampier

    I think this is our best matchup

    2nd unit
    Parker- Little Rat #1
    Hill- Little Rat #2
    Malik/RJ-
    Bonner-
    Blair-

  • TheRed&Black

    Manu and Parker are interchangeable in those line-ups

  • Jim Henderson

    Starting line-ups, match-ups, if Hill is healthy:

    Hill Kidd
    Manu Butler
    RJ Marion
    Duncan Haywood
    Dice Dirk

    Of course, match-ups are frequently interchangeable:

    Parker, Hill, Temple Kidd, Barea, Beaubois
    Manu, Hill, Bogans Butler, Stevenson, Beaubois
    RJ, Hairston, Bogans Marion, Butler
    Duncan, Blair, Bonner Haywood, Dampier, Najera
    Dice, Mahinmi Dirk, Haywood

  • TradeTP

    At Tyler and Bduran=

    So youre willing to trade erratic 40% 4/17 in playoffs, for No defense, no rebounding?

    It might be a different story if hes a three. But we use him to defend in the paint. He cant rebound, or defend. So trading opponents being able to hit us in our already weak spot, you two think its worth some dude POSSIBLY hitting 40% of his threes in 20 minutes?

    That is the problem. You dont have to ask him to be jack of all trades, but you do have to ask him to not get beat every time his man makes a move. Not get the ball ripped out of his hands, not get beat on fast breaks, etc. TRADING BASKETS or TRADING THE POSSIBILITY OF BASKETS DOES NOT HELP OUR TEAM.

    Thats like betting and saying if I only lose 5 dollars instead of 10 every hour Im doing good.

    Vegas Loves you guys!!!

  • Ian

    @TradeTP - In a magical dream world of fans’ imaginations, of course they’d play TD, Dice, Blair and Mahinmi full 48 minutes apiece without ever needing to use Bonner. But realistically, they can’t log 48 minutes each, they can’t match up with everyone, and none can shoot 3s better than Bonner. Giving Bonner 15-20 minutes per game will suffice I think, may be more if his shots are going in or if the Spurs are in dire need of some offence.

    Blair’s a rookie so I don’t think Pop will use him that much unless he performs surprisingly well in the POs, and Mahinmi probably won’t see any minutes. The guy saw less than 200 minutes this season - that’s less than Temple received in SA alone. Why would Pop use him now, esp. in the POs? Giving significant minutes to inexperienced young players in the playoffs hoping that they can make an impact, now that’s high-risk gambling.

  • TradeTP

    More or less high risk than signing McDyess? or letting 4/17 career three shooting Bonner play?

    To me its disgusting how Bonner has been in the pros for 4-5 years and hasnt gotten any stronger, quicker, tougher, better defender, ball handler, etc.

    Waste.

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  • Michelle

    Manu and Parker are interchangeable in those line-ups

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  • http://www.deanbreaker.com/ Amy

    @ RJ

    BINGO…Yes, Mahinmi must play in this series. He can get Dallas’ two bigs into some foul trouble. He will rebound, and if he is on the floor with Manu, he will score as well.

    I hope Pop is reading some of these posts. He should give Mavs a big dose of Duncan, Blair and Mahinmi. However, it will not work if Manu is not on the floor.

    If we see this lineup in this series, I guarantee it will kill Mavs.

    Also you are right to be concerned about the two back up guards. Other than Terry, those guys must be contained in this series.

  • Anthony

    […] choose to defend Nowitzki in Game 2 will go a long way in determining the outcome of the game. And how this series plays out. Win Game 2, and the Spurs go back to San Antonio with a split and the […]

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